The new crown epidemic has spread to more than 200 countries and regions around the world. In the face of the epidemic, some countries are going all out, some are watching fire from the shore, some are letting the epidemic spread on the basis of Darwin’s theory of evolution, and some are robbing other countries’ disaster relief supplies, or even spreading rumors and slander to hurt other countries and destroy The rescue operation of the World Health Organization. This situation has given us a new understanding of social development, political systems, international cooperation, belief and moral construction.
Sino-US strategic competition entered a new period of
the beginning of the epidemic, the United States gloat, saying that the epidemic in favor of the United States’ return to the real economy, “take the lead in the no-fly closed the port to China, to the United States to China not notified of the epidemic seriously, Think that the epidemic has nothing to do with the United States. The essence of this approach is that the United States still maintains the Cold War mentality and believes that China’s rejuvenation will inevitably challenge the U.S. dominance and change the international order established by the United States after the Cold War. But in fact, this Thucydides law no longer applies to today’s international relations. Today, nuclear weapons, cyber warfare, and biological weapons can instantly destroy mankind. The nature of war has undergone an essential change. All mankind must work together to avoid the devastating killing caused by war. The United States’ observation of fires from across the shore in the early stage of the epidemic, and evasion of responsibility and dumping the pot to China when the epidemic threatened the United States showed that it did not realize this. This deepens the rift in Sino-US relations. With the revival of China, those rightists who stayed in the Cold War mentality have regarded China as a strategic opponent to challenge the hegemony of the United States and change the international order. It is no longer possible to avoid conflicts by keeping a low profile and we must face reality. The contest between China and the United States is entering a long-term, all-round, and increasingly fierce game period.
Today, the United States is in a stage of strategic contraction, but we cannot underestimate its ability to modify its strategy. The United States is a country with a strong sense of crisis. It is fully prepared and aware of wars, responds quickly, and has strong control capabilities. It is good at summing up modern warfare experience, and its operational regulations are revised and improved at any time. The United States took advantage of the epidemic to approve a US$6 trillion economic stimulus plan, equivalent to more than 2/5 of my country’s GDP in 2019; regardless of WTO countervailing restrictions, the United States established a US$500 billion taxpayer fund for aviation, military, and In the fields of oil and real estate, a direct subsidy of 350 billion U.S. dollars is provided to small and medium-sized enterprises. Such a plan is very conducive to the return of the real economy and greatly improves the competitiveness of the US real economy. If my country cannot take effective response measures to restore its manufacturing capacity after the epidemic, it may allow the United States to regain the dominance of the real economy.
Competition in the field of technology and finance will be the focus. The United States spares no effort to suppress 5G is to fight for the dominance of information control and intelligent manufacturing. The United States has issued new digital currency cryptographic rules and has formed a new alliance mechanism that will play a leading role in the future digital virtual currency. If China wants to win digital currency dominance, it needs to strengthen cooperation with the European Union, because both sides have common interests, so as to form the dominance of the digital currency game with the United States and Japan. The United States is currently eager to cooperate with Japan, because the issuance of digital currency requires public trust network evaluation models (similar to S&P, Moody’s, HP) to evaluate the trust level before it can be adopted by users, which directly challenges the U.S. coinage rights. Only the two major economies of the United States and Japan can access each other through the cooperation of the new digital currency cryptographic rules, and the trust of digital currencies can be improved through weighting.
Whether “sovereign currency” can become an international currency depends on its credit value. The unlimited issuance of monetary policy adopted by the US to rescue the market this time is undoubtedly to quench thirst. It will inevitably cause a sharp depreciation of the US dollar and a sharp decline in the credit of the US dollar. People will seek an alternative currency to the US dollar, which will have a domino effect on the US economy .
Measures to deal with the overall competition and challenges between China and the United States
To promote the development of Sino-US relations in a positive direction, we must adhere to mutual benefit and win-win results, seek strategic consensus, expand the space for cooperation between the two sides, and strive for a longer period of strategic opportunities for peaceful development. The space for cooperation is mainly manifested in: politically, our country does not challenge the U.S.’s world dominance and continues to integrate into the international order; economically implements the WTO agreement and expands regional free trade; military does not challenge the US’s global control capabilities, but we must ensure that our country’s “going” “Going out” is safe; diplomacy does not establish its own sphere of influence to promote the construction of a community of shared future; technologically protects intellectual property rights and promotes international cooperation and innovation; financially, it does not challenge US coinage rights, strengthens digital currency operations, and increases settlement freedom. my country can use the strategic contraction of the United States and its contradictions with allies to strive for a favorable strategic space and assume the responsibilities of a major power, but it cannot exceed its actual capacity and carry more burdens.
my country should strengthen regional cooperation as the United States promotes anti-globalization. For example, play a role in organizations such as UNESCO, World Human Rights Organization, World Environmental Protection Organization (Paris Agreement), Asia-Pacific Regional Economic Cooperation (RCEP), and promote 10+3 economic cooperation with Northeast Asia. As long as we do a good job in the “world factory”, continuously improve product competitiveness, adhere to equal cooperation, and establish a community of shared future, our space will continue to expand. Efforts should be made to create an environment conducive to competition in our country. In the process of building a community with a shared future, we must promote the governance of the international order. Only if we do not engage in hegemony and cooperate on an equal footing can we achieve mutual benefit and win-win results.
In the macro-design, the development of countries and regions should be fully considered. When promoting Chinese companies to go global, they must take into account the interests of all parties, not to mention fishing for their own interests. It is necessary to protect the ecological environment and create a good environment and space for long-term cooperation and common development. We must undertake more international obligations, strengthen the maintenance of maritime safety, escort, combat piracy, strengthen maritime rescue, and use the construction of the Maritime Silk Road to strengthen maritime security capabilities to provide services to all countries.
The contradictions between Europe and the United States are becoming more prominent, the contradictions between Europe and Russia are alleviating, the contradictions between the United States and Russia are intensifying, and the contradictions between the United States and Japan are expanding. The power of the United States is being blocked all over the world and being isolated in the United Nations. Such a world environment is conducive to our country’s great cause of revival. We must be good at making use of the restriction mechanism among major countries, create a favorable competitive environment, play first moves, give full play to the role of the SCO, BRICS, ASEAN, AU and other regional cooperation organizations, and continue to promote the “Belt and Road” initiative, China-led organizations such as the “Asian Investment Bank”. RCEP has reached a consensus, which will further expand cooperation among regional organizations and increase the competitiveness of countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Japan and the United States have cooperation and differences. The RCEP consensus has created new opportunities for 10+3 cooperation.
The epidemic stable China-EU relations, the internal cohesion of the European Union dropped
the Cold War ended the bipolar structure. The eastward expansion of the EU has enlarged the strategic space for Germany and France. The EU no longer needs the protection of the United States and NATO. Europe has to manage itself and establish its own European legion and headquarters. Germany asked the U.S. military to withdraw its 100,000 troops in Germany. The U.S. was not allowed to make some concessions and withdrew the main troops stationed in Germany and moved to the new Europe. The EU must establish its own currency system and allow the euro to enter the international market. This poses a serious challenge to the dominance and economic and financial control of Europe established by the United States through the Marshall Plan. The United States launched the Iraq War and caused huge losses to the euro. The U.S.-Europe alliance was cracked and the European Union no longer believed in the protection of the United States. On the contrary, China opposes hegemony and advocates equal and mutually beneficial economic development. After reform and opening up opened the country, China-EU cooperation has broad prospects.